BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina
Class: 1A Class Rank: 48 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (4-5) Overall: (6-6) Overall Strength = 89.46
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2021 Away L * 80.88 10 17 1A 60 ( 6- 6) Virginia Tech -8.11 1.11
2 09/11/2021 Home W 116.77 59 17 1A 87 ( 7- 5) Georgia St 27.78 14.22
3 09/18/2021 Home W * 105.26 59 39 1A 51 ( 6- 6) Virginia 16.27 3.73
4 09/25/2021 Away L * 57.96 22 45 1A 84 ( 3- 9) Georgia Tech -31.03 8.03
5 10/02/2021 Home W * 93.36 38 7 1A 121 ( 3- 9) Duke 4.37 26.63
6 10/09/2021 Home L * 72.99 25 35 1A 62 ( 5- 7) Florida St -16.00 6.00
7 10/16/2021 Home W * 90.51 45 42 1A 52 ( 7- 5) Miami FL 1.52 1.48
8 10/30/2021 Away L 93.90 34 44 1A 6 ( 11- 1) Notre Dame 4.91 -14.91
9 11/06/2021 Home W * 96.10 58 55 1A 9 ( 10- 2) Wake Forest 7.11 -4.11
10 11/11/2021 Away L * 93.37 23 30 1A 15 ( 10- 2) Pittsburgh 4.38 -11.38
11 11/20/2021 Home W 77.47 34 14 1B 87 ( 1- 10) Wofford -11.52 31.52
12 11/26/2021 Away L * 94.97 30 34 1A 13 ( 9- 3) North Carolina St 5.98 -9.98
Averages 89.46 36.4 31.6
Best game: 116.77 = 42 point win over Georgia St
Worst game: 57.96 = 23 point loss to Georgia Tech
Team stdev: 15.38